Stats Pros Predict Europe’s Top Team – 2024 – and Rivals in the Lions’ Den Aren’t to Be Underestimated

With Euro 2024 fast approaching, host nation Germany boasts the highest-quality squad at the tournament, according to in-depth statistical analysis.

Under the guidance of Julian Nagelsmann, Germany has been in impressive form, notching notable victories over powerhouses like France and the Netherlands. Coupled with the anticipated fervor of the home crowd, Germany is undoubtedly a force to be reckoned with.

While England and France have been touted as favorites, Germany’s squad boasts a higher average “Player Quality” index, a metric that considers factors such as player performance, age, and position.

Germany’s fortunes have soared since Julian Nagelsmann took the helm in September 2023, with notable wins over France and the Netherlands.

According to the data, Germany possesses the highest average 'Player Quality' at Euro 2024.

According to the data, Germany possesses the highest average ‘Player Quality’ at Euro 2024.

The model identifies Harry Kane as the top player at the European Championship this year.

The model identifies Harry Kane as the top player at the European Championship this year.

Germany’s squad is a harmonious blend of youthful exuberance and veteran experience. In attack, Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala are poised to wreak havoc on opposing defenses, while the legendary Toni Kroos, a six-time Champions League winner, orchestrates the midfield with precision.

At the back, Antonio Rudiger, a stalwart at Real Madrid, marshals the defense and is considered Germany’s standout player according to the data. The consistency and balance of the German squad give them a slight edge over their rivals.

England’s Harry Kane is not just the Three Lions’ best player but the top-ranked player at the tournament, edging out the likes of Kylian Mbappe, Rodri, Kevin De Bruyne, and Bernardo Silva. However, England’s overall squad quality is slightly diminished by a few players.

France, meanwhile, boasts an incredibly well-rounded squad with minimal disparity in quality. Didier Deschamps has an embarrassment of riches at his disposal, with names like Mbappe, William Saliba, Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni, Ousmane Dembele, and Antoine Griezmann leading the charge.

'Player Quality' data from analytics firm Twenty First Group takes into account player performance, age, and position.

‘Player Quality’ data from analytics firm Twenty First Group considers player performance, age, and position.

France possesses a squad brimming with talent and has the narrowest range of abilities at Euro 2024.

France possesses a squad brimming with talent and has the narrowest range of abilities at Euro 2024.

Portugal is not as highly rated in the data as they are by bookmakers ahead of Euro 2024.

Portugal is not as highly rated in the data as they are by bookmakers ahead of Euro 2024.

Interestingly, Portugal, widely tipped as a favorite, ranks seventh in squad quality, behind defending champions Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain. Manchester City’s Bernardo Silva is highlighted as their key player in a star-studded lineup.

As for the underdogs, the Crusaders, making their tournament debut, have the lowest average “Player Quality” ranking, followed by Hungary, Slovenia, Romania, and Albania.

Scotland, meanwhile, ranks as the seventh-weakest team at Euro 2024. They face a daunting task in their opening match against hosts Germany at the Allianz Arena on Friday.

Scotland also has the most significant range in “Player Quality” of any team at the tournament, indicating a notable disparity in talent within their ranks.

England’s Group C opponents include Denmark, ranked ninth, and Serbia, ranked tenth, making Group C the only group with three teams in the top 10.

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